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Stuff AI CAN'T Do

Can AI diagnose endometriosis from menstrual cycle irregularities detected in period-tracking app data ?

What do you think?

Could machine analysis of self-reported cycle irregularities in period-tracking apps serve as an early indicator of endometriosis? Researchers are investigating whether AI models trained on crowdsourced symptom logs can flag atypical hormonal patterns linked to the disease, potentially shortening today’s average diagnostic delay of 7–10 years.

Background

Endometriosis frequently disrupts menstrual cycles, producing erratic bleeding and symptom records that may differ from typical patterns. A 2023 study demonstrated that machine-learning models analyzing self-reported app data can achieve moderate accuracy in distinguishing probable endometriosis from control groups, yet they still incur high false-positive rates and lack confirmatory imaging or surgical validation—components considered essential for reliable diagnosis.

Because definitive diagnosis currently requires laparoscopic surgery or MRI, AI output based solely on menstrual irregularities is best treated as a preliminary signal rather than a conclusive verdict. Data quality issues, including user-reporting biases and incomplete logs, further complicate the approach. Present systems remain experimental and are not approved for stand-alone diagnostic use; any app-generated alert should prompt consultation with a qualified healthcare provider for appropriate testing.

— Enriched May 12, 2026 · Source: BMJ

Status last checked on September 25, 2026.

📰

Gallery

In the Court of AI Capability
Summary of Findings
Verdict over time
May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jul 2026Jul 2026Jul 2026Jul 2026Jul 2026Jul 2026Aug 2026Aug 2026Aug 2026Aug 2026Aug 2026Aug 2026Sep 2026Sep 2026Sep 2026Sep 2026Sep 2026
Sitting at the Bench Filed · Sep 25, 2026
— The Question Before the Court —

Can AI diagnose endometriosis from menstrual cycle irregularities detected in period-tracking app data?

★ The Court Finds ★
▼ Downgraded from Almost
⚖
No

Beyond AI for now. The capability gap is real.

Jury Tally
0Yes
0Almost
1No
Verdict Confidence
95%
The Court of AI Capability is, of course, not a real court.
But the data is real.
The Case File · Stacked History
Session I · May 2026 No
Session II · May 2026 Almost · 80%
Session III · May 2026 Almost · 79%
Session IV · May 2026 Almost · 80%
Session V · May 2026 Almost · 79%
Session VI · Jun 2026 In_research · 77%
Session VII · Jun 2026 Almost · 80%
Session VIII · Jun 2026 In_research · 77%
Session IX · Jun 2026 No · 95%
Session X · Jun 2026 No · 95%
Session XI · Jul 2026 Almost · 85%
Session XII · Jul 2026 Almost · 85%
Session XIII · Jul 2026 Almost · 82%
Session XIV · Jul 2026 No · 95%
Session XV · Jul 2026 Almost · 80%
Session XVI · Jul 2026 Almost · 80%
Session XVII · Aug 2026 Almost · 80%
Session XVIII · Aug 2026 Almost · 88%
Session XIX · Aug 2026 No · 90%
Session XX · Aug 2026 No · 90%
Session 21 · Aug 2026 No · 90%
Session 22 · Aug 2026 No · 95%
Session 23 · Sep 2026 Almost · 75%
Session 24 · Sep 2026 Yes · 95%
Session 25 · Sep 2026 Almost · 73%
Session 26 · Sep 2026 Almost · 78%
Case № 1FDC · Session 27
In the Court of AI Capability

The Case File

Docket № 1FDC · Session 27 · Vol. 27
I. Particulars of the Case
Question put to the courtCan AI diagnose endometriosis from menstrual cycle irregularities detected in period-tracking app data?
Session27 (27 hearing)
Convened25 Sep 2026
Previously ruledNO (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → IN_RESEARCH (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → IN_RESEARCH (Jun '26) → NO (Jun '26) → NO (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jul '26) → ALMOST (Jul '26) → ALMOST (Jul '26) → NO (Jul '26) → ALMOST (Jul '26) → ALMOST (Jul '26) → ALMOST (Aug '26) → ALMOST (Aug '26) → NO (Aug '26) → NO (Aug '26) → NO (Aug '26) → NO (Aug '26) → ALMOST (Sep '26) → YES (Sep '26) → ALMOST (Sep '26) → ALMOST (Sep '26) → NO (Sep '26)
II. Cumulative Tally Across Sessions

Across 27 sessions, 55 jurors have heard this case. Combined tally: 3 YES · 30 ALMOST · 22 NO · 0 IN RESEARCH.

Note: cumulative includes older juror opinions. The current session tally above is the live verdict.

III. Verdict

By a vote of 0 — 0 — 1, the panel returns a verdict of NO, with verdict confidence of 95%. The court so orders. Verdict downgraded from prior session.

IV. Statements from the Bench
Juror I NO

"Endometriosis is a histological diagnosis requiring tissue biopsy; cycle irregularity alone lacks the specificity for reliable AI detection."

—
Presiding Judge
M. Lovelace
Clerk of the Court

What the audience thinks

No 48% · Yes 9% · Maybe 43% 23 votes
No · 48%
Maybe · 43%
13 days of activity

Discussion

no comments

Comments and images go through admin review before appearing publicly.

⚖ 27 jury checks · most recent 1 day ago
25 Sep 2026 1 juror · cannot cannot
20 Sep 2026 1 juror · undecided undecided
15 Sep 2026 1 juror · undecided undecided
09 Sep 2026 2 jurors · can, can can
04 Sep 2026 2 jurors · undecided, undecided undecided
29 Aug 2026 1 juror · cannot cannot
24 Aug 2026 1 juror · cannot cannot
19 Aug 2026 1 juror · cannot cannot
13 Aug 2026 1 juror · cannot cannot
08 Aug 2026 3 jurors · undecided, cannot, undecided undecided
02 Aug 2026 2 jurors · undecided, undecided undecided
28 Jul 2026 1 juror · undecided undecided
23 Jul 2026 1 juror · undecided undecided
17 Jul 2026 1 juror · cannot cannot
12 Jul 2026 3 jurors · undecided, cannot, undecided undecided
06 Jul 2026 3 jurors · undecided, cannot, undecided undecided
01 Jul 2026 3 jurors · undecided, cannot, undecided undecided
26 Jun 2026 1 juror · cannot cannot
20 Jun 2026 1 juror · cannot cannot
15 Jun 2026 2 jurors · cannot, undecided undecided
09 Jun 2026 4 jurors · cannot, can, undecided, undecided undecided
04 Jun 2026 2 jurors · cannot, undecided undecided
30 May 2026 3 jurors · cannot, undecided, undecided undecided
24 May 2026 3 jurors · cannot, undecided, undecided undecided
19 May 2026 4 jurors · undecided, cannot, undecided, undecided undecided
15 May 2026 4 jurors · undecided, cannot, undecided, undecided undecided status changed
12 May 2026 3 jurors · cannot, cannot, cannot cannot status changed

Each row is a separate jury check. Jurors are AI models (identities kept neutral on purpose). Status reflects the cumulative tally across all checks — how the jury works.

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