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Stuff AI CAN'T Do

Can AI detect deepfakes in many common cases ?

What do you think?

What does it mean to detect deepfakes reliably in everyday media? Current methods rely on observable inconsistencies—subtle mismatches in lip motion, lighting, or audio-visual sync—that betray synthetic origins. The research community reports strong performance for run-of-the-mill deepfakes, but stresses that no system is perfect.

Background

AI can detect deepfakes in many common cases by analyzing inconsistencies in the video or audio, such as discrepancies in the synchronization of lip movements and speech or anomalies in the reflection of light on the subject's face. Researchers have developed various techniques, including those based on machine learning and deep learning, to identify deepfakes with a high degree of accuracy. These methods can be applied to a wide range of deepfake types, including those created using popular tools like DeepFaceLab and FaceSwap (IEEE, enriched May 9, 2026). While detectors and generators are in an ongoing arms race, off-the-shelf detectors still flag most current deepfakes above chance—often well above chance—indicating utility against everyday cases.

Status last checked on September 22, 2026.

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Gallery

In the Court of AI Capability
Summary of Findings
Verdict over time
May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jul 2026Jul 2026Jul 2026Jul 2026Jul 2026Jul 2026Aug 2026Aug 2026Aug 2026Aug 2026Sep 2026Sep 2026
Sitting at the Bench Filed · Sep 11, 2026
— The Question Before the Court —

Can AI detect deepfakes in many common cases?

★ The Court Finds ★
Reaffirmed
⚖
Almost

Narrow demos exist — but the panel was not unanimous.

Jury Tally
0Yes
2Almost
0No
Verdict Confidence
83%
The Court of AI Capability is, of course, not a real court.
But the data is real.
The Case File · Stacked History
Session I · May 2026 Yes
Session II · May 2026 Yes
Session III · May 2026 Almost · 81%
Session IV · May 2026 Almost · 81%
Session V · May 2026 Almost · 79%
Session VI · May 2026 Almost · 75%
Session VII · Jun 2026 Almost · 85%
Session VIII · Jun 2026 Almost · 78%
Session IX · Jun 2026 Almost · 85%
Session X · Jun 2026 Almost · 85%
Session XI · Jun 2026 Almost · 88%
Session XII · Jul 2026 Almost · 85%
Session XIII · Jul 2026 Almost · 93%
Session XIV · Jul 2026 Almost · 80%
Session XV · Jul 2026 Almost · 90%
Session XVI · Jul 2026 Almost · 80%
Session XVII · Jul 2026 Almost · 80%
Session XVIII · Aug 2026 Almost · 80%
Session XIX · Aug 2026 Almost · 88%
Session XX · Aug 2026 Almost · 90%
Session 21 · Aug 2026 Yes · 95%
Session 22 · Sep 2026 Almost · 90%
Case № 6E98 · Session 23
In the Court of AI Capability

The Case File

Docket № 6E98 · Session 23 · Vol. 23
I. Particulars of the Case
Question put to the courtCan AI detect deepfakes in many common cases?
Session23 (23 hearing)
Convened11 Sep 2026
Previously ruledYES (May '26) → YES (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (May '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jun '26) → ALMOST (Jul '26) → ALMOST (Jul '26) → ALMOST (Jul '26) → ALMOST (Jul '26) → ALMOST (Jul '26) → ALMOST (Jul '26) → ALMOST (Aug '26) → ALMOST (Aug '26) → ALMOST (Aug '26) → YES (Aug '26) → ALMOST (Sep '26) → ALMOST (Sep '26)
II. Cumulative Tally Across Sessions

Across 23 sessions, 49 jurors have heard this case. Combined tally: 16 YES · 33 ALMOST · 0 NO · 0 IN RESEARCH.

Note: cumulative includes older juror opinions. The current session tally above is the live verdict.

III. Verdict

By a vote of 0 — 2 — 0, the panel returns a verdict of ALMOST, with verdict confidence of 83%. The court so orders.

IV. Statements from the Bench
Juror I ALMOST

"AI models can detect many deepfakes on known datasets, but performance varies across unseen generation methods."

Juror II ALMOST

"AI systems can detect deepfakes with high accuracy on benchmark datasets, but performance drops significantly on out-of-distribution or highly sophisticated deepfakes."

—
Presiding Judge
M. Lovelace
Clerk of the Court

What the audience thinks

No 17% · Yes 77% · Maybe 6% 224 votes
No · 17%
Yes · 77%
Trend needs votes from at least 2 different days.

Discussion

no comments

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⚖ 23 jury checks · most recent 2 weeks ago
11 Sep 2026 2 jurors · undecided, undecided undecided
05 Sep 2026 1 juror · undecided undecided
20 Aug 2026 1 juror · can can
15 Aug 2026 1 juror · undecided undecided
09 Aug 2026 2 jurors · undecided, can undecided
04 Aug 2026 1 juror · undecided undecided
30 Jul 2026 1 juror · undecided undecided
24 Jul 2026 1 juror · undecided undecided
19 Jul 2026 1 juror · undecided undecided
13 Jul 2026 1 juror · undecided undecided
08 Jul 2026 2 jurors · can, undecided undecided
03 Jul 2026 3 jurors · can, undecided, undecided undecided
27 Jun 2026 2 jurors · undecided, can undecided
22 Jun 2026 2 jurors · undecided, undecided undecided
16 Jun 2026 3 jurors · undecided, can, undecided undecided
11 Jun 2026 3 jurors · can, undecided, undecided undecided
05 Jun 2026 2 jurors · can, undecided undecided
31 May 2026 2 jurors · can, undecided undecided
26 May 2026 4 jurors · undecided, undecided, undecided, undecided undecided
20 May 2026 4 jurors · can, undecided, undecided, undecided undecided
15 May 2026 5 jurors · undecided, can, undecided, undecided, undecided undecided status changed
12 May 2026 3 jurors · can, can, can can
11 May 2026 2 jurors · can, can can

Each row is a separate jury check. Jurors are AI models (identities kept neutral on purpose). Status reflects the cumulative tally across all checks — how the jury works.

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